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Red106
246828.7
368340.4
11829.7
Blue122
300553.9
14842.6
353832.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139131050100200250106122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.6
49.147.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
blue by 13.5
53.90.2
50.850.6
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
Second
118
#6
29.71.6
38.536.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
blue by 12.9
148
#4
42.60.2
39.539.3
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
Third
28.71.6
37.435.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
blue by 3.9
32.50.2
29.529.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed