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Red94
742125.5
463533.1
347840.4
Blue109
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221315010015020094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.2
44.543.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
blue by 3.1
43.52.7
47.144.4
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
33.11.2
37.236.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
blue by 0.7
33.82.7
37.434.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
25.51.2
29.628.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
blue by 4.2
29.72.7
33.330.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed