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Red177
436250.4
2749.2
3352.9
Blue137
571240.4
207545.7
276744.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16216950100200250300177137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
52.92.0
51.253.1
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
red by 7.2
45.71.5
52.851.4
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
Second
50.42.0
48.750.7
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
red by 6.0
44.41.5
51.650.1
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
27
#1
49.22.0
47.549.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
red by 8.8
40.41.5
47.646.1
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed