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Red108
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue64
300553.9
14842.6
353832.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413505010015020025010864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.2
42.242.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 10.0
53.93.7
50.647.0
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
Second
34.10.2
32.432.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
blue by 8.4
148
#4
42.63.7
39.335.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
Third
32.20.2
30.530.7
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
blue by 0.3
32.53.7
29.325.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed