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Red131
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue164
571240.4
207545.7
276744.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112171050150200250131164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.5
47.048.5
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 8.2
45.71.1
51.452.5
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
Second
148
#4
42.61.5
35.737.2
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
blue by 1.8
44.41.1
50.151.2
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
32.51.5
25.627.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
blue by 7.9
40.41.1
46.147.2
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed