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Red106
436250.4
2749.2
3352.9
Blue109
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178109050150200250300350106109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
52.93.5
53.149.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
red by 9.4
43.50.2
43.443.2
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
50.43.5
50.747.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
red by 16.6
33.80.2
33.733.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
27
#1
49.23.5
49.546.0
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
red by 19.5
29.70.2
29.629.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed