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Red122
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue107
353615.1
516626.7
511422.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12469050100150200122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.1
42.443.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 17.2
26.72.4
28.430.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Second
34.11.1
32.633.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 11.8
22.32.4
24.026.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
32.21.1
30.731.8
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 17.2
15.12.4
16.719.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed