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Red115
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue107
353615.1
516626.7
511422.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13277050100150200250115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.1
48.548.6
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 27.2
26.72.1
30.732.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Second
148
#4
42.60.1
37.237.3
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
red by 20.2
22.32.1
26.428.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
32.50.1
27.127.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
red by 17.4
15.12.1
19.121.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed