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Red140
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue97
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111740608010014016018020014097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.1
43.544.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 3.5
40.40.6
42.842.1
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
34.11.1
33.734.8
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 1.1
33.10.6
35.534.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
32.21.1
31.832.9
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 6.8
25.50.6
27.927.3
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed