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Red61
511422.3
516626.7
353615.1
Blue140
571240.4
207545.7
276744.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8016305010015020025061140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.8
32.831.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 19.0
45.70.2
48.248.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
Second
22.31.8
28.426.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 22.0
44.40.2
46.946.7
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
15.11.8
21.219.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 25.3
40.40.2
42.942.7
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed