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Red147
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue84
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271145010015020014784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.5
48.650.1
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 13.5
40.41.7
42.140.5
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
148
#4
42.61.5
37.338.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
red by 9.5
33.11.7
34.933.2
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
32.51.5
27.328.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
red by 7.0
25.51.7
27.325.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed