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Red133
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue103
365621.0
150629.8
213728.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13178050100150200250133103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.9
44.545.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 14.1
29.81.6
29.130.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
34.10.9
34.835.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 5.9
28.21.6
27.529.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
32.20.9
32.933.8
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 11.3
21.01.6
20.321.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed