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Red105
511422.3
516626.7
353615.1
Blue132
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81114050100150200105132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
31.031.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 13.6
40.42.2
40.542.6
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
22.30.9
26.727.5
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 10.7
33.12.2
33.235.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
15.10.9
19.420.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 10.4
25.52.2
25.627.8
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed