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Red130
439143.5
170129.7
776933.8
Blue128
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119128050100150200250300130128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
44.144.4
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
red by 3.1
40.40.2
45.846.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
33.80.3
34.434.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 4.1
118
#6
29.70.2
35.235.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
29.70.3
30.330.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 1.0
28.70.2
34.134.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed