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Red22
511422.3
516626.7
353615.1
Blue127
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7019205010015025030035022127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.74.0
31.227.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 26.2
33
#1
52.93.6
55.151.5
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
22.34.0
26.822.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 28.1
50.43.6
52.649.0
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
15.14.0
19.615.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 34.1
27
#1
49.23.6
51.547.8
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed