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Red118
439143.5
170129.7
776933.8
Blue109
300553.9
14842.6
353832.5
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125149050100200250300350118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.0
46.446.4
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
blue by 10.4
53.91.5
54.853.3
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
Second
33.80.0
36.736.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
blue by 8.8
148
#4
42.61.5
43.542.0
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
Third
29.70.0
32.632.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
blue by 2.8
32.51.5
33.431.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed