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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35341020304050602931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#24
19.81.8
12.911.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 1.3
7289
#10
18.50.1
15.615.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
5150
#34
7.11.8
7.45.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 3.4
9776
#14
10.50.1
6.86.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
6085
#39
5.01.8
10.18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 2.2
2604
#22
7.30.1
9.79.6
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed