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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51310204060801003742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
19.90.4
14.414.0
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 3.8
16.11.3
9.811.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Second
1684
#11
15.70.7
18.717.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 2.8
5674
#32
12.91.3
11.713.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Third
5517
#37
5.70.7
10.59.7
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 3.5
5183
#23
9.21.3
8.59.9
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed