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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284301020506070802183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.7
11.210.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 13.9
28.32.4
16.819.2
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
5527
#28
7.50.7
7.26.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 12.1
68
#2
19.52.4
12.214.7
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
453
#38
5.00.7
9.08.3
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 7.7
8193
#16
12.72.4
8.210.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed