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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505301001502002453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.72.4
19.116.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 9.8
32.50.3
20.921.3
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
Second
1684
#11
15.72.4
17.915.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 2.7
7289
#10
18.50.2
15.615.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Third
6085
#39
5.02.4
8.35.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 5.7
3568
#31
10.70.3
11.411.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed