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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34363040453146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
19.90.0
14.013.9
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 3.6
314
#29
16.31.5
12.113.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
5193
#40
7.50.0
10.910.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 8.6
16.11.5
11.112.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
5527
#28
7.50.0
6.56.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 3.5
9207
#26
10.90.9
8.99.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed