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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44463035405055603560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#12
18.10.8
16.015.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 5.3
23.41.5
17.218.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
5612
#17
14.90.8
14.013.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 4.6
68
#2
19.51.5
14.716.1
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
6071
#36
7.80.8
10.29.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 6.6
9572
#18
14.41.5
9.711.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed