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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534152025304045503130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.1
10.810.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
red by 2.5
9572
#18
14.45.7
14.89.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
5674
#32
12.90.1
11.811.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
red by 2.2
3568
#31
10.70.1
11.111.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
Third
453
#38
5.00.1
9.19.0
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.5
5193
#40
7.50.1
10.310.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed