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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254302060803322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7772
#20
11.50.9
9.510.3
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 6.9
7289
#10
18.51.0
16.615.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
9207
#26
10.90.5
8.08.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 0.1
8385
#33
11.01.7
10.28.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
5183
#23
9.20.9
7.78.5
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
red by 4.4
7195
#27
4.91.7
10.18.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed