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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49290204060804135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.70.1
18.818.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 7.7
5612
#17
14.90.5
11.111.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Second
68
#2
19.50.1
12.312.2
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
red by 8.7
9251
#30
10.80.5
8.58.9
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Third
5517
#37
5.70.1
10.510.5
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 1.6
2604
#22
7.30.5
9.29.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed