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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4635010203040506070801723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.5
19.216.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 7.4
16.11.1
11.010.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
5046
#21
7.32.5
10.88.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 7.2
14.41.1
12.311.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Third
5150
#34
7.12.5
9.97.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 5.6
8193
#16
12.71.1
9.28.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed