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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454410203040506070805744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#24
19.80.1
12.812.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 8.5
28.30.4
16.416.8
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
1684
#11
15.70.1
18.518.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 4.2
5561
#15
19.90.3
14.114.4
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
6071
#36
7.80.1
9.49.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 2.8
6085
#39
5.00.4
9.710.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed