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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35450204060805930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.52.9
15.618.5
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 14.4
3534
#12
18.11.6
17.616.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Second
5235
#35
9.82.9
10.613.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
blue by 6.6
314
#29
16.31.6
13.111.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
6091
#25
9.32.9
6.49.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
red by 1.9
5527
#28
7.51.6
8.87.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed