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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260204060804532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.70.4
18.819.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 8.3
9572
#18
14.40.6
9.19.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
6753
#13
14.60.4
11.812.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 3.6
8385
#33
11.00.6
8.69.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
3568
#31
10.70.4
11.011.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9207
#26
10.90.4
8.68.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed