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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36410501001502851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.41.1
10.59.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 13.9
28.31.0
19.220.3
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
8385
#33
11.01.1
9.28.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 0.5
9776
#14
10.51.0
6.77.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
5235
#35
9.81.1
13.112.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 2.5
5046
#21
7.31.0
10.611.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed