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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303701020405060702652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7289
#10
18.50.3
15.815.5
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 1.6
16.91.6
10.912.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Second
5527
#28
7.50.5
6.46.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 8.7
16.11.6
12.714.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
5150
#34
7.10.5
6.05.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 2.2
6091
#25
9.31.6
8.910.5
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed