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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375410203050607080903457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#17
14.90.2
13.213.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 17.6
32.51.1
21.322.4
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
Second
5674
#32
12.90.2
12.312.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 5.2
3534
#12
18.11.1
15.216.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
9207
#26
10.90.1
9.99.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 0.6
7772
#20
11.51.1
10.311.4
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed