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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3536202530404550553248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#2
19.50.2
16.116.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
blue by 0.3
5603
#24
19.81.7
10.712.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
6071
#36
7.80.2
9.49.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 8.2
16.11.7
11.212.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Third
453
#38
5.00.2
8.07.8
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 0.7
5517
#37
5.71.7
9.010.7
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed