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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483301020406070804735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.5
20.319.8
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 12.1
7784
#19
16.20.1
12.212.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Second
9572
#18
14.40.5
11.210.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 3.4
8385
#33
11.00.2
8.17.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
2604
#22
7.30.5
10.09.5
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Level
5046
#21
7.30.2
11.711.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed