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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30510102040607080776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5235
#35
9.82.5
12.09.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
blue by 13.7
23.41.1
18.719.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
5193
#40
7.52.5
10.88.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 8.2
1684
#11
15.71.1
15.616.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
7195
#27
4.92.5
7.04.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 9.6
14.41.1
9.410.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned