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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29550204060802262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7772
#20
11.50.8
11.410.6
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 21.0
32.51.7
22.424.1
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
Second
5193
#40
7.50.8
8.37.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 20.8
28.31.7
19.821.5
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
2604
#22
7.30.8
9.58.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
red by 2.4
7195
#27
4.91.7
4.56.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed