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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392701020506070804833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
19.90.9
14.715.6
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 9.0
9207
#26
10.90.5
9.810.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Second
7784
#19
16.20.9
12.012.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 10.5
5517
#37
5.70.8
10.711.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Third
9776
#14
10.51.5
7.59.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 5.5
6085
#39
5.00.8
5.66.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed