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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403510203050603335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.70.5
17.717.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 8.2
14.40.8
10.69.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Second
5183
#23
9.20.5
10.29.6
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
blue by 0.1
6091
#25
9.30.8
10.59.7
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Third
453
#38
5.00.5
7.87.3
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.2
5046
#21
7.30.8
11.510.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed