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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363825304045503425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.1
14.214.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 0.4
1684
#11
15.71.0
16.115.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Second
9251
#30
10.80.1
9.69.7
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 0.8
7772
#20
11.51.0
10.69.6
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
9776
#14
10.50.1
9.09.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 5.5
453
#38
5.01.0
7.36.3
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed