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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273301020304050601713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#13
14.61.5
13.712.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 1.7
5674
#32
12.92.4
12.510.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Second
5527
#28
7.51.5
5.33.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
red by 0.2
5046
#21
7.32.4
10.68.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Third
7195
#27
4.91.5
6.24.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 0.2
6085
#39
5.02.4
6.44.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed