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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53392060801005657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.6
24.124.7
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 12.6
5561
#15
19.91.3
15.617.0
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
16.90.6
13.414.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
blue by 2.9
5603
#24
19.82.2
11.814.0
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
2604
#22
7.30.6
8.79.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
blue by 7.2
14.42.2
9.711.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed