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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801007147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.6
24.726.4
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 15.6
16.91.8
14.115.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Second
68
#2
19.51.6
17.919.5
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
red by 3.3
7784
#19
16.21.1
13.214.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Third
5183
#23
9.21.6
8.810.4
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
red by 4.2
6085
#39
5.01.8
4.05.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed