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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353632333435363738393237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#29
16.31.1
15.514.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 6.4
494
#7
22.70.5
16.817.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
9572
#18
14.41.1
11.810.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 3.9
9776
#14
10.50.5
9.19.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
7195
#27
4.91.1
4.73.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 2.3
5150
#34
7.10.5
6.36.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed