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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3137010205060702941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#13
14.60.1
12.212.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 0.2
14.40.1
11.911.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Second
6071
#36
7.80.1
9.79.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 2.9
3568
#31
10.70.1
11.611.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
Third
5193
#40
7.50.1
6.66.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 0.2
2604
#22
7.30.1
9.49.3
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed