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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043253035455055603625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#11
15.70.1
15.115.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 7.7
23.41.5
18.517.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
8193
#16
12.70.1
11.311.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 2.3
5612
#17
14.91.5
13.912.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
9207
#26
10.90.0
10.210.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 5.9
453
#38
5.01.5
6.34.8
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed