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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364101020305060705548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.72.3
17.319.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 2.9
5603
#24
19.81.2
13.915.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
5612
#17
14.92.3
12.314.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 1.2
16.11.2
15.716.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
7195
#27
4.92.3
3.65.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 2.7
5193
#40
7.51.2
6.77.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed