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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3039010205060704237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.9
11.812.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 1.6
16.10.3
13.814.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
9572
#18
14.40.9
10.711.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 3.6
9251
#30
10.80.3
9.79.9
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Third
6085
#39
5.00.9
5.86.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 4.3
6091
#25
9.30.3
11.111.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed