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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102030405060703134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#31
10.70.0
11.511.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
blue by 1.9
8193
#16
12.70.2
11.311.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Second
6091
#25
9.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 2.2
7772
#20
11.50.2
11.911.7
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
5183
#23
9.20.0
8.68.6
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
red by 2.0
5046
#21
7.30.2
7.77.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed