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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801007260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.8
24.626.4
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 13.4
5612
#17
14.91.9
14.616.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Second
314
#29
16.31.8
14.616.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 1.7
6753
#13
14.61.9
12.614.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
16.11.8
14.015.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 1.6
14.41.9
12.714.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed