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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060706046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
19.91.4
16.518.0
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 0.4
68
#2
19.50.3
19.619.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Second
16.92.1
15.918.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
red by 5.9
8385
#33
11.00.3
12.212.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
7195
#27
4.92.1
5.98.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 5.9
9251
#30
10.80.3
9.99.7
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed